Today’s Bear Market vs Last Two Bear Markets
https://youtu.be/FZ-n7DSFjvA In this market update we compare today’s Bear Market to our last two (2000-2002 and 2008-2009). They are similar in some ways, but there is one major difference. That difference is why we may be more at the beginning of this downturn than near the end.
Corporate Profit Margins Squeezed
https://youtu.be/7Dz6xvK6xEU Walmart (WMT) and Target (TGT) earnings this week reflect the changing landscape for profit margins. Expenses are increasing (especially wages and freight costs) faster than companies can raise price. Thus, profit margins are coming down from historically high levels.
End Of Low Mortgage Rates
https://youtu.be/21oiT04XqDY Over the last 12 years, the Federal Reserve has kept mortgage rates artificially low through quantitative easing. With expectations of quantitative tightening, mortgage rates have shot higher. We believe the Federal Reserve will no longer manipulate mortgage rates in the future.
THOR’s Disciplined Approach – Update
https://youtu.be/1cKW8JN4qvQ 2022 is proving to be a difficult year for both stocks and bonds. In this update, Jim talks about THOR’s disciplined investment approach and how it is weathering the storm effectively this year. Being disciplined is key to long-term investment results. Watch our update to learn more about how THOR is staying disciplined in […]
Natural Gas Pointing to Higher Inflation
https://youtu.be/9s1yv2KcDwY From 2009 to 2020 fracking caused natural gas prices to decline which in turn caused deflation around the world. That trend is reversing today as natural gas prices in the European Union are rising and causing US natural gas prices to climb. As the United States ships increased amounts of natural gas to Europe, […]
Why is Inflation so low in China?
https://youtu.be/rFEgCBl873c China’s Inflation Rate is less than 1% over the past year. Watch our update to see why the Federal Reserve needs to raise rates more aggressively to fend off the Yuan from becoming a world reserve currency.
Energy – Not Just a Short-Term Investment
https://youtu.be/JQCv4nAPYjI This market update explains why energy is a longer-term issue and investment opportunity. We see energy prices remaining elevated as production in Russia slows due to sanctions and western oil companies leaving the country. This is similar to what happened with Venezuela’s energy production. Watch the video to learn more about today’s energy market.
Market’s Reaction To Rate Hikes Is Not Like 1999!
https://youtu.be/KTcqyIhx90s Today’s market reaction to rate hikes is starkly different than what happened in 1999. The stock market volume is saying the correction is not over yet.
Federal Reserve’s Impact on the Bond Market
https://youtu.be/8ibLEWWiJt8 The Federal Reserve has blown out their balance sheet to almost $9 trillion and currently own 25% of all agency mortgage securities. Watch our video to understand why this is not a time to own the “general” bond market.
Part 2: ARKK Fund Follow-Up
https://youtu.be/noBHvil-6Ow This is a follow-up to our market update on 12/16/21 (Equity Market’s Health – The ARK(K) is Taking on Water). Odds are that the downturn in ARKK is only the beginning. Watch this update to find out why.