2022 Equity Market Outlook
https://youtu.be/iR4Uc4Qru9o With the calendar changing to 2022, here are our thoughts on the market outlook for this year, including an update of the current THORdex.
Equity Market’s Health – The ARK(K) is Taking on Water
https://youtu.be/sXqOnDpiazA Even though the stock market appears to be reaching new highs, the average stock is not. Most companies are selling below their 200-day moving average. High flying stocks like those held in the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) are faring much worse. Watch this market update to see where things may go from here.
Multi-Year Bull Market – Commodities
https://youtu.be/Unu9pA6GiL0 Commodities are coming off a 12-year bear market. We believe they are now in a bull market and have further to run (similar to 2000-2008). Rising energy prices will be the main reason for the bull market and not offering incentives for energy producers (and in fact doing the opposite) today only makes the […]
Federal Reserve – Way Behind the 8-Ball
https://youtu.be/vmntgvmunq8 Real interest rates are negative like they were back in the 1970s. While inflation is at historically elevated levels, the Federal Reserve is doing nothing to combat it. Watch our market update to learn about the negative affects on owning bonds in this environment.
Cisco vs. Tesla: Why Stock Price Matters
https://youtu.be/8cpdNYYFIVQ Are investors making the same mistake today as they did with Cisco back in 2000? Investors overpaid for a “Great Company” and Cisco’s stock is down 30% from 2000. Watch our video to find out why the price you are paying for any investment is important.
Low CAPEX Spending = Higher Energy Prices
https://youtu.be/z7h11nLSvNg In this market update we show the cause and effect of capital expenditures (CAPEX) for energy companies and the price of oil. Since it takes time for CAPEX to bear fruit in the energy space, expect prices to remain high due to this recent lack of investment. Today we are seeing this in Europe. […]
Portfolio Protection – Where to Invest Now!
https://youtu.be/Nb1QviIvYLc The way to protect your portfolio from a down market is by investing in alternative (non-correlated) investments. THOR uses our THORdex to determine when it is best to own alternatives. With the THORdex at 74, now is a good time to have alternatives in your portfolio.
Energy Costs = Inflation
https://youtu.be/ijLaes1lAJc Over the past 40 years, the rate of growth in inflation has fallen. A major reason for this disinflation was due to lower energy prices – especially natural gas. Today we are seeing a reversal in the cost of energy, which could lead to a pick up in inflation.
Bonds – Credit Risk is getting to an Extreme!
https://youtu.be/3vadv_sQbUc THOR’s credit risk model is sending a cautionary signal. This at a time when bond spreads are historically narrow (i.e., 1999 and 2008) and covenants are non-existent. Is your bond portfolio taking too much credit risk today? Watch our market update video to learn more.
U.S. Corporate Profit Margins Going Down?
https://youtu.be/K4byF8rkGTwCorporate profit margins are at all-time highs. The stock market is also trading at all-time high levels. There are two items that could derail these levels: inflation and higher interest rates. Watch our video to learn more.